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Johnson agrees to become Nets head coachBasketball Betting Lines06/09/2010 - Bristol, CT (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Avery Johnson has confirmed that he has come to a verbal agreement to become the next head coach of the New Jersey Nets. Johnson will return to the sidelines after a two-year absence and inherit a team that compiled the worst record in the NBA last season at 12-70, which included a history-making 0-18 start. "We've come to a verbal agreement and hopefully the Nets will have an official announcement tomorrow," Johnson told ESPN's Hannah Storm. "But, yes, I am headed to New Jersey." "You look at a team that won 12 games, so the sky's the limit," Johnson continued. "There's so many great possibilities and so much potential here." The 45-year-old Johnson was fired from his first head coaching job after the Dallas Mavericks' ouster from the first round of the playoffs in 2008 and has been working as an analyst at ESPN since then. Ironically, that post-season defeat was orchestrated by his hometown New Orleans Hornets, who earlier this week spurned Johnson to hire Portland Trailblazers assistant coach Monty Williams to fill their head coaching vacancy. Johnson led the Mavs to a 194-70 record during his three-plus regular seasons, the best winning percentage (.735) in league history, but his postseason mark was 23-24, including losses in 12 of their last 15 playoff games. The 16-year NBA veteran, who spent most of his career in San Antonio, took over for Don Nelson with 18 games remaining in the 2004-2005 season and the team finished 16-2. The Mavericks reached the second round of the playoffs that year before falling to Phoenix. "The Little General" guided the Mavs to a 60-22 record and their first NBA Finals appearance in 2005-06, earning Coach of the Year honors. Dallas jumped to a 2-0 lead in the Finals against Miami, and looked like it was on the verge of finally bringing outspoken owner Mark Cuban his first championship. It all went downhill from there, in terms of postseason success, as the Heat came back to win four straight and the NBA title. Cuban inked Johnson to a five-year extension that offseason, which was scheduled to keep him in Dallas through the 2010-2011 season. The 2006-07 season included a franchise-best 67-15 record, but it ended with the eighth-seeded Warriors, coached by none other than Nelson, upending the top-seeded Mavs in six games, becoming the first No. 8 seed to win a seven- game series. New Jersey fired head coach Lawrence Frank on November 29 after the first 17 losses and replaced him with then-general manager Kiki Vandeweghe for the remainder of the season. Vandeweghe was removed from the position by new owner Mikhail Prokhorov when he officially purchased the team last month.
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Sportsbook Betting LinesWho Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error. “You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said. “The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10). How the Opening Line Is MadeThe opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades. Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias. The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line. Why Sports Betting Lines ChangeOnce the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action. Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite. Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.” To visit this internet sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your sports betting needs and World Series odds. |
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