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 Basketball Betting |
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Mavs, Grizzlies clash in Big DBasketball Betting Lines04/07/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Dallas Mavericks hope to salvage the finale of a three- game homestand and inch closer to the Southwest Division crown tonight when they host the Memphis Grizzlies. The Mavs are coming off a tough 121-116 loss to Oklahoma City on Saturday when Kevin Durant and Jeff Green combined for 45 points and Eric Maynor helped derail a Dallas comeback bid with a three-pointer in the final minute, as the Thunder clinched their first playoff berth since relocating to Oklahoma City with a 121-116 win over the Mavericks. Dirk Nowitzki had 30 points and 13 rebounds and Jason Kidd added 24 points for Dallas, which is now tied with Phoenix and Denver, one-half game behind Utah for the second seed in the jumbled Western Conference playoff standings. The Mavs also failed to pick up ground on San Antonio in their bid to clinch the Southwest Division title. The Spurs are now two games back with a season- ending matchup between the two looming for Apr. 14 in Dallas. "We're struggling the last couple games. It was disappointing because we had a great offensive first quarter," said Mavericks coach Rick Carlisle. "Good teams have got to be able to close out quarters and hold leads in those situations. We struggled to do it in the first quarter and in the second, we got behind and were behind the rest of the night." The Grizzlies, meanwhile, are out of the playoff picture and coming off their fifth loss in six games last night. Houston's Kevin Martin led all scorers with 29 points in that one, as the Rockets held on late to upend Memphis, 113-103. Zach Randolph scored 22 points along with seven boards for the Grizzlies while Rudy Gay chipped in 20 and eight rebounds in defeat. "We capitalized on some of their mistakes, and we went on a little run," Grizz forward Sam Young said. "It was just a matter of trying to make sure our run surpassed their score, but obviously we came up a little short tonight." Dallas has been a house of horrors for Memphis over the years. The Grizzlies have dropped 17 of their last 18 in Big D with the lone win coming on Nov. 26, 2005.
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(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Pete Carroll's draft strategy will be laid bare twice in the first 14 picks, as Seattle picked up an extra first-round pick thanks to a 2009 draft-day deal that helped Denver select cornerback Alphonso Smith in the second-rou
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Sportsbooks to bet on footballRecently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it. He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games. "Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote. He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games. Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk. Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible. Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines. Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy. With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season. Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas). And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.) The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors. While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger. Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under. One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it. Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami. What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5. That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well. MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple. "The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money. "At the end of the day, we liked the home team." So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams. In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish. MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover. The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing. Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed. MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash. To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards. |
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